Live title odds and per-round reach probabilities for the Cincinnati Open 2026 draw — from a Monte Carlo win-probability simulation, recomputed live as results come in.
| Player | Title odds | Reach SF | Reach F |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 20% | 41% | 27% |
| Alexander Zverev | 20% | 44% | 27% |
| Rafael Jodar | 7% | 24% | 12% |
| Arthur Fils | 7% | 22% | 11% |
| Ben Shelton | 6% | 27% | 16% |
| Taylor Fritz | 6% | 24% | 14% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 5% | 21% | 13% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 3% | 19% | 9% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 3% | 18% | 9% |
| Casper Ruud | 2% | 16% | 8% |
| Alex De Minaur | 2% | 11% | 4% |
| Jack Draper | 2% | 7% | 3% |
| Valentin Vacherot | 2% | 9% | 3% |
| Learner Tien | 2% | 10% | 5% |
| Jakub Mensik | 1% | 7% | 3% |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1% | 7% | 3% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1% | 8% | 4% |
| Tommy Paul | 1% | 6% | 2% |
| Joao Fonseca | <1% | 8% | 4% |
| Flavio Cobolli | <1% | 6% | 2% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | <1% | 7% | 3% |
| Brandon Nakashima | <1% | 6% | 2% |
| Andrey Rublev | <1% | 6% | 2% |
| Tomas Machac | <1% | 4% | 2% |
| Ugo Humbert | <1% | 4% | 2% |
| Grigor Dimitrov | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| Arthur Rinderknech | <1% | 4% | 1% |
| Alexander Blockx | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Ignacio Buse | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Arthur Fery | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Player | Title odds | Reach SF | Reach F |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 27% | 57% | 40% |
| Elena Rybakina | 14% | 40% | 27% |
| Coco Gauff | 11% | 41% | 21% |
| Iga Swiatek | 11% | 36% | 22% |
| Jessica Pegula | 9% | 37% | 20% |
| Elina Svitolina | 6% | 21% | 12% |
| Amanda Anisimova | 4% | 23% | 10% |
| Marta Kostyuk | 4% | 21% | 8% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 3% | 19% | 7% |
| Linda Noskova | 2% | 17% | 6% |
| Belinda Bencic | 2% | 11% | 5% |
| Naomi Osaka | 2% | 9% | 4% |
| Madison Keys | <1% | 5% | 2% |
| Sorana Cirstea | <1% | 9% | 3% |
| Diana Shnaider | <1% | 6% | 2% |
| Anastasia Potapova | <1% | 6% | 1% |
| Iva Jovic | <1% | 6% | 1% |
| Alexandra Eala | <1% | 5% | 2% |
| Barbora Krejcikova | <1% | 3% | 1% |
| Anna Kalinskaya | <1% | 4% | 1% |
| Marie Bouzkova | <1% | 4% | <1% |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| Elise Mertens | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Jelena Ostapenko | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Emma Navarro | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Taylor Townsend | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Karolina Pliskova | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Leylah Fernandez | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Clara Tauson | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Liudmila Samsonova | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ann Li | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Maria Sakkari | <1% | <1% | <1% |