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·250·ClayLuca van Assche defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 — Estoril Open 2026 R16.
Luca van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta: Luca van Assche leads 1–0 across 1 recorded meeting.
Break-point conversion decided it. In a match split 78 points to 75, Luca van Assche cashed 5 of 8 chances on return, while Pablo Carreno Busta, the No. 8 seed the betting market had priced as a 66 percent favorite, went 3 of 7. The favorite broke for 2-2 in game 4 of the decider, but van Assche answered in game 5 for 3-2 and again in game 7 for 5-2, taking 3 of 4 third-set break points. The win books an Estoril Open quarterfinal with No. 16 Andrey Rublev.