Luca van Assche def. Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 — Estoril Open 2026 R16

Match recap

Luca van Assche defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 in the R16 of the Estoril Open 2026.

Break-point conversion decided it. In a match split 78 points to 75, Luca van Assche cashed 5 of 8 chances on return, while Pablo Carreno Busta, the No. 8 seed the betting market had priced as a 66 percent favorite, went 3 of 7. The favorite broke for 2-2 in game 4 of the decider, but van Assche answered in game 5 for 3-2 and again in game 7 for 5-2, taking 3 of 4 third-set break points. The win books an Estoril Open quarterfinal with No. 16 Andrey Rublev.

Match stats

Luca van Assche: 3 aces, 71% first serves, 6 double faults, 5/8 break points. Pablo Carreno Busta: 4 aces, 67% first serves, 5 double faults, 3/7 break points.

Profiles: Luca van Assche · Pablo Carreno Busta — Estoril Open 2026

Head-to-head

This is the first meeting between Luca van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta.